Incident Archive · Cascade Forensics

Selected cascades, reconstructed from the archive.

Complete archive · 452 documented cascades across all 46 markets · $1.720B liquidation notional · 109 events carry a full replay · archive as of 19 August 2026.

Every replay is a real, documented leverage cascade. CRI is an empirically calibrated structural stress signal derived from perpetual market behavior, validated against liquidation cascades across 2026 production data, real-notional, single methodology. Watch it cross threshold — then watch the liquidations hit, up to three hours later.

452
Documented cascades
Liquidation notional
Median signal lead
46
Markets

Every figure above describes the full archive as of 19 August 2026 — not the replay subset. The archive is live and grows; this page is a stamped snapshot of it.

Dollar figures are gated. Unlock full liquidation notional across every replay — for qualified risk & trading desks.

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Archive methodology Every row is a real 2026 leverage cascade detected by CRI and reconstructed from the liquidation record. Liquidation notional is atomic — the sum of per-minute liquidations inside each cascade window, single methodology, no rolling-aggregate inflation. It resolves for 428 of 452 events (94.7%); the remaining 22 are shown as “—” with every other field intact, because the cascade is documented even when its notional is still being reconciled.
Why the archive total is smaller than the sum of its rows Detection windows can overlap: 190 of 452 cascades (42%) share at least one minute with another cascade in the same market. The archive total published above is therefore deduplicated over distinct liquidation minutes — every liquidated dollar counted once, $1.720B across 3,488 distinct minutes. Adding up the per-event figures in the table gives a larger number ($2.112B, 23% higher), because minutes shared by overlapping windows would be counted more than once. Both figures are correct for what they measure: each row states the notional inside its own cascade window, and the archive total states what was actually liquidated. Non-events, misses and the full signal record are reviewed during evaluation-stage methodology sessions.

The median signal lead is 130 min across all 452 cascades (mean 132 min). Side is the direction of the liquidated positions: 312 long, 134 short. Venue confirmation means the cascade was independently observed on a second venue (306 of 452).

Featured replays

The 12 largest documented cascades · click any card to replay it minute by minute

The full archive

109 of 452 cascades carry a full replay, covering all 46 markets — every cascade above $5M plus the largest event in each market. The rest are complete records without the animation. marks the 2 events priced on the reconciled basis rather than the atomic one. “—” in the notional column means the figure is pending recompute; the cascade itself is documented.